FreePlays.com Handicapper Blog » Dr. Vegas

By Razor Sharp Sports

The countdown is down to 2 weeks until the NFL kicks off for real. Our handicappers at Freeplays.com have had a chance to take a look at each team a couple times in the pre-season, know what they did last year and know who they lost or gained in the offseason. Now it is time for them to put their money where there mouth is. Ten of our Freeplays.com handicappers were asked their picks for each of the NFL divisions, their wildcard picks, along with their Super Bowl and BCS Championship picks. They were Razor Sharp Sports, Mike Wynn, Jim Feist, Kenny Towers, Vegas Steam Line, Totals 4 U, Arthur Ralph, Teya’s Sports, Dr. Vegas & Huddle Up Sporrts. So what did we find out and who do you agree with the most?

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Jan
18
Filed Under (Dr. Vegas) on 18-01-2010

By Dr. Vegas

One of the most simple and useful stats I use in my handicapping is the margin of victory. This is simply a number showing the average points by which a team has lost or won over the season. This is calculated overall, at home, and on the road. When Team A visits Team B, comparing Team A’s road margin against Team B’s home margin can give a good snapshot of how the game might play out.   Below is a table I use in my daily handicapping. It shows the average, home, and away margins for 347 college basketball teams. This chart is updated as of the games through January 17, 2010.

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Jan
15
Filed Under (Dr. Vegas) on 15-01-2010

By Dr. Vegas

Here is a quick reference to the four NFL matchups this weekend, with some of my favorite stats. We have the usual ATS, SU, etc. But also a few of my specialty stats. “MARG” stands for the average margin by which a team has won at home or on the road this season. For example, Arizona has won their road games by an average margin of 7.8 points per game.

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Dec
27
Filed Under (Dr. Vegas) on 27-12-2009

By Dr. Vegas

So I stroll into the Las Vegas Hilton’s sportsbook yesterday, as I do every Saturday during football season. And despite three bowl games and a decent NBA card, the place was a ghost town. Happens every year about this time, too.

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Dec
24

By Dr. Vegas

Ohio vs Marshall square off in the Little Caesars Pizza Bowl on December 26. Let’s take a look at the tale of the tape on these two teams, including the exclusive Dr. Vegas Power Ratings.

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Nov
06

By Dr. Vegas

Sunday nights haven’t always lived up to their hype lately, but this week’s matchup will certainly break the tie at the top of the NFC East. And in true Dr. Vegas style, we turn to the numbers to sort it all out.

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Aug
06
Filed Under (Dr. Vegas) on 06-08-2009

By Dr. Vegas

This is the third part of my NFL Preseason handicapping series.

In the second part, I found some credibility to the argument that a new coach in his first preseason does tend to win more, for many reasons. Now let’s look at another idea: That new coaches like to win the last game of the preseason in order to give their team a boost heading into the regular season.

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By Dr, Vegas

This is the second part of my NFL Preseason handicapping series.

Are new coaches a special breed when considering NFL handicapping? Do new coaches want to win the first preseason game to make a good impression? Do they want to win the last one to give their team a boost into the regular season? Do they want to have a good overall record to show they know how to win? Well, it’s time to separate fact from fiction and break down all of these numbers. In this segment, I’m looking at how new coaches perform in the first week of the preseason. I have taken stats for all new coaches from the 2003 through 2008 preseasons, and broken them down several ways.

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Jul
27

By Dr, Vegas

This is the first part of my series on handicapping preseason NFL.

It is the novice handicapper who glosses over the preseason and proclaims that some coaches always like to win and some coaches don’t ever care about winning in the preseason. That’s like saying some cars move fast and some cars don’t. A more accurate statement is that some coaches have more situations in the preseason where they feel a win is more appropriate than other coaches. There is no coach who wants to win every preseason game, and there is no coach who never cares if his team ever wins one.

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May
14
Filed Under (Dr. Vegas) on 14-05-2009

By Dr. Vegas

As the second round of the NBA playoffs winds down, I thought it would be a good time to do an update of the relevant numbers for the six teams still in it.

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