Preview: Wisconsin vs Michigan - Sept. 27, 2008

By Dr. Vegas

Big 10 Conference action begins with this classic matchup, though their standings so far are nothing but classic. Wisconsin is ranked #9 in the nation and favored by 6 points in this game against a Michigan team that has lost 2 of its first three. The Wolverines are also lacking any starting Seniors in their offense, while breaking in a new coaching staff.

Good thing they had a bye week last week. They needed it. Of course Wisconsin also had a bye week, and will be just as ready to pounce on this reeling Michigan team.

Looking further at the numbers, we see that Wisconsin is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS. Michigan is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS.

It’s hard to say that the fourth game of the season is “must win” but it at least falls in the “had better win” category for Michigan. Indeed, the Wolverines lost two early games and ended up with a respectable 9-4 mark by the end of the season.

They’re at home, rested, and feel a sense of urgency. They’ve had two weeks to make changes. This is about the time Vegas starts to over-correct. A 6-point dog at home is too good to ignore.

Free pick from Dr. Vegas - take Michigan plus 6 over Wisconsin.